FVXX21 KWBC 031331
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VOLCANIC ASH ADVISORY STATEMENT
ISSUED 1330 UTC 03 DEC 1999 BY THE WASHINGTON VAAC 
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TUNGURAHUA 99-199         ECUADOR 1.47S 78.44W 
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BACKGROUND:    TUNGURAHUA ECUADOR (1502-08)
               SUMMIT HEIGHT 16480 FT (5023 M)
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SOURCES OF INFORMATION: GOES-8 VISIBLE..MULTISPECTRAL AND INFRARED
IMAGERY.  AVIATION MODEL WIND FORECAST.
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ERUPTION DETAILS: CONTINUOUS STEAM AND ASH EMISSIONS AND OCCASIONAL
EXPLOSIONS OF ASH.
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DETAILS OF ASH: THE VOLCANO HAS SHIFTED INTO A RELATIVELY QUIET
STAGE IN THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS.  NO ASH CAN BE SEEN IN SATELLITE
IMAGERY THROUGH 03/1245 UTC. HOWEVER...THE VOLCANO REMAINS IN AN
UNSTABLE STATE AND COULD PRODUCE A MODERATE TO LARGE ERUPTION AT
ANYTIME. 
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TRAJECTORY: UPPER AIR PATTERNS BASED ON NUMERICAL GUIDANCE SUGGEST
ANY ASH FROM THE SUMMIT UP TO FL300 WOULD MOVE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT
10 KNOTS.
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REAL TIME SATELLITE IMAGERY ALONG WITH THIS AND OTHER VOLCANIC ASH
ADVISORY STATEMENTS OFTEN ACCOMPANIED BY A MAP DEPICTING ASH
LOCATION ARE AVAILABLE AT INTERNET URL ADDRESS  
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/VAAC/washington.html
(all lower case except /VAAC/)
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OUTLOOK:  SEE SIGMETS.
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WALTER/NOAA/NESDIS/SAB
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EFFECTIVE JANUARY 3 2000 AT 0000 UTC... ALL REFERENCES TO LATITUDE
AND LONGITUDE IN VOLCANIC ASH ADVISORY STATEMENTS WILL BE IN DEGREES
AND MINUTES OF A DEGREE.  EXAMPLE: 16.70N 62.20W  WILL BE 1642N6212W
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THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 03/1930 UTC.
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PLEASE REFER TO SIGMETS FOR CURRENT WARNINGS.
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