FVXX21 KNES 100622
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20170110/0622Z
VAAC: WASHINGTON
VOLCANO: COLIMA 341040
PSN: N1930 W10337
AREA: MEXICO
SUMMIT ELEV: 12631 FT (3850 M)
ADVISORY NR: 2017/053
INFO SOURCE: GOES-EAST. GFS WINDS. NAM WINDS.
ECMWF WINDS. VOLCANO WEB CAMERA. HYSPLIT.
ERUPTION DETAILS: MULTIPLE VA EMS DURING LAST 6 HRS.
OBS VA DTG: 10/0545Z
OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL190 N1930 W10340 - N1928 W10335
- N1806 W10408 - N1846 W10449 - N1930 W10340 MOV
SW 10-15KT
FCST VA CLD +6HR: 10/1200Z SFC/FL190 N1929 W10340
- N1929 W10335 - N1703 W10432 - N1737 W10541 -
N1839 W10442 - N1929 W10340
FCST VA CLD +12HR: 10/1800Z SFC/FL190 N1930
W10339 - N1928 W10335 - N1706 W10432 - N1735
W10538 - N1837 W10438 - N1930 W10339
FCST VA CLD +18HR: 11/0000Z SFC/FL190 N1930
W10339 - N1928 W10334 - N1710 W10446 - N1743
W10546 - N1847 W10449 - N1930 W10339
RMK: T+0 CONFIDENCE HIGH. CONT EMS EVERY 2 HRS
CURRENTLY EXTD 70 NM SW FR SUMMIT. BASED ON
MULTIPLE WX MODELS AND SPEED OF MOV IN STLT
IMAGERY VA IS ESTIMATED TO ARND FL190. CONT
ACT IS EXPECTED. ...KIBLER
NXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20170110/1215Z
Full Size Graphic
-